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Texas crop, weather for Oct. 14, 2015

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By: Robert Burns

Warm fall allows Texas High Plains and Rolling Plains cotton to mature

Warmer weather stimulated cotton in the Rolling Plains and other regions to catch up on maturity, according to Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service agronomists. (Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service photo by Dr. Gaylon Morgan)

Writer: Robert Burns, 903-834-6191, rd-burns@tamu.edu

COLLEGE STATION – The warmer fall weather has greatly helped Texas cotton in the Rolling Plains and High Plains areas catch up on maturity, said a Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service agronomist.

“Overall, from Haskell and Knox counties, and up to Wilbarger and Motley counties, dryland cotton is definitely going to make an above average crop, said Dr. Gaylon Morgan, AgriLife Extension state cotton specialist, College Station.

Morgan recently inspected Rolling Plains cotton fields and talked with producers at numerous cotton field days.

Download or preview a two-minute MP3 audio version of Texas crop, weather for Oct. 14, 2015

“I saw quite a bit of dryland cotton that would make about a bale per acre,” he said. “And irrigated cotton was looking pretty good too. Although the wet spring delayed planting, the full profile of soil moisture followed by June and early-July rains set a good yield potential. However, another rain in August would have made the good crop much better. The irrigated farmers did not really have to irrigate until late July and August, which was a big cost savings. (close quotes)

Further (farther) south, into the San Angelo area, most dryland cotton was “burned up” due to missing multiple June and July rains, Morgan said.

But overall, the Rolling Plains crop turned out to be in much better shape than was expected a few months ago, he said.

“Considering the type of spring we had, with late planting, there was a lot of concern about cotton not being able to finish out,” Morgan said. “But this open fall with 90-plus degree temperatures and sufficient heat units allowed the crop to mature and open-up, and we will hopefully be able to harvest this crop before the wet weather when the predicted El Niño arrives.”

In the South Plains, cotton is looking promising, Morgan said, after consulting with Mark Kelley, AgriLife Extension agronomist, Lubbock. There, as in the Rolling Plains, the warm weather helped cotton mature.

“We’re expecting three-quarters of a bale per acre on some of the dryland cotton and as much as two-plus bales on the highly irrigated cotton,” Morgan said.

Because of lack of rain, some South Plains dryland cotton burned-up as it did in the southern Rolling Plains, he said. As usual, the rainfall this summer was variable across the High Plains, and the exact number of acres lost to drought has yet to be determined.

“But it is safe to say that yields were certainly much reduced by the lack of rain late in the summer,” Morgan said. “There were good rains in June and July, but they really needed some more rain in August to finish out the dryland crop. The irrigated guys did pretty good because of the June and July rains; they were able to retain the fruit load through August with irrigation.”

“Producers in the Rio Grande Valley were very pleased with their dryland and irrigated yields this year,” Morgan said. “It was a tough year getting cotton planted and harvested due to rain, but the yields were good. Moving up the coast, yields were highly variable depending on field drainage and planting date. Better-drained fields that survived the flooding conditions had some good yields.”

It was a different story for cotton in the Upper Gulf Coast and Blacklands, he said.

“The yields were below the five-year average,” Morgan said. “The excessively wet spring followed by no rain in July or August really hurt the yields. Harvesting ran over a month behind normal, and many farmers just wanted the 2015 season to be over.”

AgriLife Extension district reporters compiled the following summaries for the reporting period of Oct. 4-12:

The 12 Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Districts

Central: Soil moisture, rangeland, pastures and crops were all rated in fair condition. Overall livestock conditions were good. Dry conditions slowed cotton growth at the end of the growing season. With no rain, farmers were either delaying planting wheat and oats or dry-planting the crops. The dry weather also delayed the planting of canola. Livestock were still in good condition. Many producers were feeding extra protein to cattle. Pasture quality was declining. Cattle prices dropped a little. Bermuda grass stem maggots and armyworms were infesting fields.

Coastal Bend: The region had above average temperatures and mostly dry conditions. More rain was needed to improve soil moisture. Growers are doing post-harvest fieldwork. Some pecan harvesting began. Producers were harvesting fall hay. Dry conditions delayed the planting of winter pasture in some areas. Fall calves were being born, and cows were in good shape.

East: Drought conditions worsened. Ponds and creeks were going dry. The majority of counties reported subsoil and topsoil as short, with a few reporting both as very short. Only five counties reported adequate subsoil and topsoil moisture. Forages were showing signs of severe stress. Panola County has had 95 days without substantial moisture. The dryer conditions would have been worse if not for the earlier summer rains that made good grazing and haying possible for most of the later summer. Winter pasture planting was delayed as producers waited on rain. Pastures were dry and grass was short. Cattle remained in fair to good condition, but some producers were already supplementing cattle with hay. Fall calving was underway. Weaning and selling of market-ready calves and cull cows continued. In Gregg County, feral hog activity was low. Smith County, however, reported feral hog activity had picked up.

Far West: Cotton harvesting sped up until Oct. 8, then rains came and harvesting was halted. Rainfall totals ranged from less than 1 inch in Terrell County to as much as 6 inches in Loving and Winkler counties. Cooler temperatures were the norm across the district. Hudspeth County chile crops were close to harvest. Some producers had alfalfa on the ground during the recent rains. Sugarcane aphids were still present in Glasscock County and were being closely monitored. Pasture and rangeland conditions across the district varied from fair to very poor. Topsoil and subsoil moisture was mostly adequate.

North: The region had another rainless week, and topsoil moisture was short to very short. The dry weather pattern since late spring was taking a toll on all agriculture in the region. Nighttime temperatures cooled off significantly, but daytime highs were still in the low 90s. Pastures and rangeland conditions continued to decline. Some producers were feeding hay to offset poor forage conditions. Some winter pastures were planted, but due to lack of ground moisture they had yet to emerge. Those who dry planted their wheat and oats early now wished they had waited. Grain sorghum producers wrapped up harvesting, with yields mostly low to very low. Spring rains filled ponds to overflowing, but levels were rapidly dropping with the hot days. Horn fly populations were high. Feral hogs were active. Armyworms were a problem.

Panhandle: The region had near average temperatures for most of the reporting period. Most areas received some rain, but soil moisture continued to be rated mostly short. In Collingsworth County, the rain benefited newly planted wheat, but it stalled peanut and cotton harvesting. Much of the county’s peanut crop had been dug, and producers were waiting for the crop to cure before thrashing. Cotton harvesting began slowly; most fields caught up on maturity despite late planting. In Dallam and Hartley counties, the cool, wet weather stopped grain sorghum and corn harvesting. The pumpkin harvest continued, but dry weather was needed to resume harvest of other crops. Most stocker cattle producers were content to keep cattle on grass rather than market them. Recent rains caused pastures to green up. In Deaf Smith County, rainy weather also halted harvesting. The corn harvest was about half over, with yields below average because of hailstorm damage. Corn passed over by hail and wind was giving good yields, averaging 250 bushels per acre and more. Grain sorghum yields were above average, but many fields were not harvested yet. Producers were planting winter wheat where they could get in the fields. Earlier planted wheat looked good. There was still grasshopper pressure on the young wheat, but it was tolerable. Sunflowers were yet to be harvested. Many sunflower fields had hail damage, which will reduce overall yields. Hemphill County has had 1 inch to 1.6 inches of much needed rain. Cow-calf operators were busy weaning and shipping spring calves. Stockers were ready to graze on wheat, but it will be at least a month before there is much grazing available.

Rolling Plains: Cooler weather prevailed, but the region still needed rain. Pastures and rangeland were in poor condition due to lack of moisture the last several weeks. Earlier rain caused grasses and forages to grow quickly, but when the rains stopped, growth ceased. Wildfires popped up in some areas because of the dry conditions. Fall cattle work began with ranchers weaning spring calves. Cotton bolls were opening rapidly. Cotton producers defoliated some cotton, and harvesting was expected to begin in a week or two. Cotton was in excellent condition in the spring and early summer, but the lack of moisture resulted in some dryland fields to “burn up,” and yields did not look promising. Farmers were hesitant to plant wheat due to dry soil conditions, and earlier planted wheat that emerged was attacked by armyworms.

South: The region had mild temperatures, with some areas receiving substantial rain. The northern part of the region received rain but most accumulations were not significant. Cotton harvesting wrapped up, and early-planted peanuts were being dug. Producers began planting wheat and oats. Rangeland and pasture conditions throughout the northern counties remained good to fair. Supplemental feeding of livestock increased. Body condition scores of cattle remained fair. Soil moisture was short to very short except for La Salle County where it was mostly adequate. In the eastern part of the region, what little cotton that was left in the fields was harvested. Local livestock markets saw an increase in offerings during the last few weeks, with runs of over 500 head. Live Oak County cattle prices declined significantly, as they had done every week for the last six weeks. Five-hundred pound steers were reported at $1.50 per pound, compared to $2.20 a pound during August. Soil moisture was 30 to 40 percent adequate in Duval County, 50 to 80 percent very short in Jim Wells County and 70 percent short in Kleberg and Kenedy counties. In the western part of the region, some areas received heavy rains, with accumulations of 2.5 to 7 inches. The rains will greatly improve native range and pastures, and producers expected to be able to reduce supplemental feeding of livestock. The rain will also benefit dryland oats and wheat. Cabbage, spinach and onion producers expected to save on irrigation costs. Soil moisture conditions were short to very short in Dimmit and Maverick counties and surplus in Zavala County. In the southern part of the region, fall crops progressed well with some vegetables being irrigated. Hay baling continued. Livestock were in good condition. In Starr County, fall vegetable planting preparations and hay baling were ongoing. Soil moisture was 70 percent short in Cameron County and 90 percent adequate in Starr County.

South Plains: Most of the region received rain, with accumulations ranging from 0.4 inch to more than 2 inches. The rains halted field operations and some cotton harvesting for a while but were welcomed by those who had already planted winter wheat. Floyd County producers were slowly starting to harvest cotton. Most producers only recently sprayed fields with harvest aids so it will be another week or so before the harvest really gets rolling. Bailey County received 1.7 inches of rain. Cochran County subsoil and topsoils were saturated by the rain, and all harvesting was stopped due to the wet conditions. Hockley County producers were busy harvesting grain sorghum, with most seeing average and above average yields. They were also harvesting corn, but the cotton harvest was a couple of weeks away . Lubbock County got more than 2 inches of rain in some areas. About 25 percent of the cotton in the county had been defoliated but only about 5 percent harvested. Area gins had ginned from a few hundred to a few thousand bales. The Garza County cotton harvest began on a limited basis but was interrupted by rain on Oct. 8. Cotton yields were expected to be somewhat better than earlier expected due to warmer than average weather. Mitchell County rains allowed producers to start planting winter wheat but it came a little late for dryland cotton. Scurry County only received sparse amounts of rain, and more was needed for all aspects of agriculture.

Southeast: Soil moisture varied widely but was mostly in the short to very short range with very short being the most common. The exception was San Jacinto County with 100 percent adequate soil moisture. Rangeland and pasture ratings were mostly fair to poor, with poor ratings being the most common. The region remained hot and dry. In Walker County the dry conditions delayed the planting of cool-season forages. Wildlife plots were dusted in – planted in dry soil – with the hope of rain coming soon. The Brazos County cotton harvest was nearly completed. Waller County ranchers were still cutting and baling hay. Stock-water tank and river levels continued to drop. Brazoria County didn’t receive any rain, but overall the agricultural conditions were good. In Fort Bend County, the dry weather allowed most producers to finish picking cotton, and hay producers to cut and bale. In Galveston County, water from early rains was still standing in some fields, which delayed hay harvesting.

Southwest: Warm and dry conditions persisted. Cooler temperatures and light showers moved through the region. Crops remained in stable condition, and pastures were on the mend. Producers were waiting on more moisture before planting winter annuals. Pasture and rangeland quality was declining. Livestock producers were providing supplemental feed to cattle.

West Central: The region was mostly dry and warm all week. Nights were mild. The dry conditions coupled with low humidity caused extremely high wildfire danger. A few scattered showers occurred in parts of the region but were not enough to improve drought conditions. Producers were preparing fields for small-grain planting. Some producers dry planted wheat and oats, but most were expected to wait for adequate moisture. Cotton neared maturity. Producers began to apply defoliants. Limited cotton harvesting began. Rangeland and pastures were severely drought stressed. All forage growth was slow due to lack of rain. Supplemental feeding of livestock was started early due to poor grazing conditions. Stock-tank water levels further dropped.

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Farm & Ranch

Forage Needs in the Fall

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By Savannah Magoteaux

Two bales can look almost identical and feed very differently. Color, smell and leafiness tell part of the story, but a forage test tells you what your cattle are actually being offered. If you buy hay by the ton or are trying to stretch winter feed, that little lab sheet can be one of the cheapest management tools on the place.

Reading the report

Start with dry matter. Hay contains water, and labs report nutrients either “as fed” or on a dry-matter basis. Feeds are easiest to compare on a dry-matter basis because it takes moisture out of the comparison. Hay that is 90 percent dry matter is about 10 percent water.

Crude protein, usually abbreviated CP, is the number most people recognize. It estimates protein from the forage’s nitrogen content. Higher isn’t automatically better. The goal is to match the hay to the animal. A dry, mature cow in mid-gestation doesn’t need the same protein as a lactating cow, a growing replacement heifer or a young calf.

Energy matters just as much. Beef cattle forage reports commonly estimate energy as total digestible nutrients, or TDN. Low-TDN hay may fill a cow up before it supplies enough energy, particularly when her requirements rise late in gestation or during lactation. That is when you may need better forage, an energy supplement or a different feeding plan.

Fiber numbers explain why some hay looks coarse and why animals may not be able to eat enough of it. Neutral detergent fiber, or NDF, is closely tied to intake. As NDF climbs, cattle generally eat less because the forage moves through the digestive tract more slowly. Acid detergent fiber, or ADF, is tied to digestibility. Higher ADF generally means lower digestibility.

Some reports also include relative feed value or relative forage quality. These indexes help compare lots of forage, particularly alfalfa and mixed hay, but they aren’t a complete ration. They don’t replace looking at protein, energy, minerals, animal class and expected intake.

Then come the numbers you hope are boring. Nitrate testing matters when drought, heavy nitrogen fertilization, cloudy weather or other conditions have stressed the forage enough to cause nitrate accumulation. Sorghum-type forages, johnsongrass, corn and some weeds deserve particular attention. Nitrates stay in hay after it is cut and baled, so a risky crop doesn’t become safe just because it dried.

Minerals deserve a look, but this is where a hay report gets harder to interpret. Calcium, phosphorus, potassium, magnesium and other minerals may be listed, yet a complete mineral program depends on water, other feeds and local conditions. A high number isn’t always an advantage. Excessive potassium, for example, can interfere with magnesium use under some circumstances. If you are balancing a ration for high-risk animals, work with a nutritionist or Extension specialist rather than treating the lab sheet as a stand-alone mineral prescription.

Moisture tells another story. Hay baled too wet is at greater risk of heating and mold, and very wet hay can become a fire hazard as microbial activity raises its internal temperature. A test taken months later can’t reconstruct every storage problem, so inspect the stack, too. A musty odor, visible mold, unusual heat and dark discoloration are all reasons to investigate.

Getting a good sample

A hay test is only as good as the sample, and sampling is the step most likely to ruin a good analysis. A handful pulled from the outside of one convenient bale doesn’t represent a stack of 100 bales. Round bales aren’t uniform from the outside to the center, and one bale may not represent the whole cutting.

Texas A&M AgriLife recommends using a hay probe and collecting cores from multiple bales in a lot, then combining them into one representative sample. A coring probe reaches through the layers of the bale and gives the lab a much better cross-section. Test different cuttings, fields or hay types separately, and don’t blend samples from separate fields or cuttings to save the cost of a test if you will feed them as separate lots.

Putting the numbers to work

The most useful way to read the report is backward from the cattle. What class of animal will eat this hay, at what stage of production, and how much is she likely to eat? Once you answer those questions, the lab numbers start to mean something.

A mature dry cow in good body condition can often use lower-quality forage than a first-calf heifer nursing a calf. Young cattle need nutrients for growth on top of maintenance, and cold stress raises energy demand. A hay test becomes valuable when you pair it with those real-world differences.

Remember that price per bale isn’t the same as price per unit of nutrition. A cheap bale with very low energy and protein may require expensive supplementation, and better hay can turn out to be the lower-cost feed once you count waste and supplements.

Before buying, try putting two hay reports side by side. Compare dry matter, crude protein, TDN and fiber first. Then add delivered cost and likely feeding waste. A heavier, denser bale isn’t automatically more economical, and a greener bale isn’t automatically more nutritious. The numbers make the comparison fair.

Testing is especially valuable after a hard weather year. Drought hay may be lower in yield and higher in nitrate risk. Mature, rain-damaged hay may test lower in protein and energy than it looks. Hay cut from a fertilized field after stress may deserve a safety screen before it ever reaches a feeder.

A forage test won’t make poor hay better. It shows you where the gaps are before your cattle show them through lost condition or lower performance. One report can’t answer every feeding question, but it replaces several guesses with measurements, and that makes winter nutrition planning much more accurate.

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When Acorns Become a Problem

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By Savannah Magoteaux

A heavy crop of acorns under an oak tree usually looks more like a sign of fall than a livestock problem. For most cattle in most years, that is all it is. Trouble starts when acorns stop being an occasional bite and become a meaningful part of the diet.

Oak leaves, buds and acorns contain tannins that can damage the digestive tract and kidneys when cattle eat enough of them. Green acorns are generally considered more toxic than mature brown ones, but either can cause problems if cattle eat too many.

The risk climbs when forage is short and cattle go looking for something else to eat. Drought, overgrazed pastures or simply a heavy acorn crop can set up that situation.

Cattle aren’t equally interested in acorns. A few animals in a herd may eat far more than the rest, which helps explain why cases can appear scattered.

Early signs can be vague. Affected cattle may go off feed, look depressed or become constipated. As the damage progresses, you may see dark or bloody manure, abdominal pain, frequent urination followed by reduced urine output, dehydration and weakness. Kidney failure is the most serious concern.

You can’t remove every acorn from a wooded pasture, so prevention comes down to keeping cattle from relying on them. Adequate forage and supplementation take away the incentive to eat large amounts.

You can also fence cattle away from heavily producing oaks for a while, especially when pasture conditions are poor. If several animals seem to be seeking out acorns, take a close look at the rest of the ration instead of assuming they will quit on their own.

If you suspect oak poisoning, call a veterinarian early. Treatment is supportive and does much more good before severe kidney damage sets in. Moving unaffected cattle away from the source and providing good-quality feed and water may prevent more cases.

Acorns are an important fall food for deer, squirrels and other wildlife, and a few acorns generally don’t spell disaster for cattle. The concern is quantity. A pasture full of oaks becomes a different management problem when grass is short, cattle are hungry and the ground is covered with something they are willing to eat.

Oak toxicity comes up most often in cattle, but other livestock can be affected, too. And the risk isn’t limited to acorns. Oak buds and young leaves also contain tannins, so spring can occasionally bring problems as well. In fall, though, the obvious temptation is lying on the ground where cattle can eat it quickly.

Watch where your cattle spend their time. If cows that normally graze open grass start camping under oaks and hunting acorns, that behavior tells you something.

Walk the pasture, estimate how much usable forage is left and check whether a few dominant animals are eating more than the rest. Hay or supplemental feed may help, but place it where all the cattle can reach it rather than assuming one feeder will solve the problem.

Oak poisoning can look like other illnesses, and no one can diagnose kidney damage from pasture observation alone. A veterinarian may use history, clinical signs and lab work to separate it from dehydration, digestive disease or other toxicities. That is another reason to mention a heavy acorn crop when you call. A detail that seems like an ordinary part of fall can be an important part of the history.

Your pasture plan doesn’t have to be complicated. If one wooded trap has a much heavier acorn crop than the rest, use another pasture while you still have the choice.

If you can’t move the herd, make sure hay and supplement are adequate before the animals get hungry enough to seek out acorns aggressively. Salt or mineral by itself won’t make up for a shortage of forage.

The problem usually fades as cattle eat through the crop or the acorns weather or get covered. Don’t return cattle that have already shown signs as soon as they look better, though. Kidney injury can be serious. Follow your veterinarian’s recommendations and reassess the pasture before turning recovered animals back out.

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Land Market Report

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By Jared Groce

Late summer has been brutal on our livestock, our grass and the rural land market in North Texas. We currently have an astounding 42 months of inventory on hand in our report area, and the only properties selling are the ones priced right. Overpriced properties aren’t even getting looked at, much less receiving offers, so pricing your property correctly matters more than ever right now.

Many sellers are still picturing the daily price increases we saw in 2020 to 2023, but those days are behind us, and agents need to be more realistic with listing prices to get any activity for their clients. Hopefully the rains will come soon and bring more land buyers with them this fall, but right now it is still very much a buyer’s market. No one knows how long this dry spell will last, but it will likely take a flood to end it. The same is true of the weather!

They say the best time to plant a tree, or buy land, was 20 years ago, and the second-best time is today.

CountyAreaAcres$/AcreList PriceSold PriceSale/ListDOM
ClayHenrietta120.07$5,150$714,000$618,30986.60%434
ClayBellevue159.44$6,184$981,000$985,959100.50%48
ClayHenrietta293$4,982$1,538,250$1,459,60094.90%212
ClayAverage190.84$5,438$1,077,750$1,021,28994.00%231
CollinAnna11.08$84,356$1,200,000$935,00077.90%634
CollinAverage11.08$84,356$1,200,000$935,00077.90%634
CookeMuenster11$18,000$209,000$198,00094.70%250
CookeGainesville19.3$16,580$345,000$320,00092.80%541
CookeValley View96.23$15,500$1,679,215$1,491,56588.80%194
CookeAverage42.18$16,693$744,405$669,85592.10%328
DentonSanger16.46$39,422$649,000$649,000100.00%47
DentonCross Roads10.35$97,575$1,200,000$1,010,00084.20%40
DentonSanger300$14,000$4,999,999$4,200,00084.00%1,327
DentonAubrey74.09$57,684$4,815,525$4,273,55088.70%302
DentonAverage100.22$52,170$2,916,131$2,533,13889.20%429
GraysonCollinsville11.61$46,516$600,000$540,00090.00%280
GraysonVan Alstyne18.8$58,511$1,175,000$1,100,00093.60%280
GraysonWhitesboro30$37,984$1,170,000$1,139,50697.40%277
GraysonAverage20.14$47,670$981,667$926,50293.70%237
JackNo sales reported——————
MontagueMontague485N/A$5,566,000N/AN/A333
MontagueBowie26$12,244$323,500$318,35298.40%743
MontagueMontague37.3$10,327$428,950$385,19589.80%1
MontagueSaint Jo1,185$7,764$10,000,000$9,199,82992.00%19
MontagueAverage433.33$10,112$4,079,613$3,301,12593.40%274
WiseSunset12$19,027$234,000$228,32097.60%16
WiseSunset12$19,027$234,000$228,32097.60%14
WiseChico11.44$24,476$299,000$280,00093.60%24
WiseChico10.25$29,265$315,000$300,00095.20%12
WiseAverage11.42$22,949$270,000$259,16096.00%17

DOM = days on market

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