Farm & Ranch
[AgriLife Today] Texas crop, weather report for Feb. 16, 2016
By: Robert Burns
Texas cotton ‘actual’ plantings could be down a little compared to last year
Writer: Robert Burns, 903-834-6191, rd-burns@tamu.edu
COLLEGE STATION – The Feb. 5 National Cotton Council’s 35th Annual Early Season Planting Intentions Survey indicated Texas growers intended plantings to be up 5.6 percent over the actual plantings in 2015.
According to the survey, “Overall, Texas cotton acreage is expected to increase by 5.6 percent, with South Texas responsible for the statewide increase. The survey responses indicate that cotton growers expect to plant land that was idled in 2015 due to excessive moisture. Little change in acreage was indicated in the state’s other regions.”
Download or preview a two-minute MP3 audio version of this report
For the U.S. total, the council’s survey suggests cotton plantings to be up 6.2 percent at 9.1 million acres, with some Southeastern regions seeing deep declines in planting intentions, while the Delta states are looking at eight to 40 percent increases. A summary of the survey results for all the U.S. can be found at http://bit.ly/1oxNIQ5.
The survey showed Texas upland cotton intended plantings at a little more than 5 million acres, up from 2015 actual plantings of 4.8 million, a change of about 200,000 acres.
However, the survey bears some interpretation to get the accurate picture, said Dr. Gaylon Morgan, Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Service state cotton specialist, College Station. There are some extreme changes predicted in cotton acres across the Cotton Belt.
“Based on predictions from last year at this time — 5.3 million expected planting acres — our acreage could actually be down a little bit compared to last year,” he said.
First, the survey is, in a way, comparing apples to oranges, or in this case, comparing intended plantings to actualities, Morgan said. Intended plantings in 2015 were 5.3 million acres. However, due to excessive moisture, more than 500,000 acres were not planted, in particular in the Rio Grande Valley, Coastal Bend, Upper Gulf Coast and definitely the northern High Plains.
From weekly reports by AgriLife Extension county agents across the cotton growing areas, there has been some indication that producers were considering planting less cotton this year because of low prices last year. Moreover, future contracts are suggesting prices will be about the same this year.
The problem is, Morgan said, prices of the usual alternatives to cotton in Texas — corn, wheat and sorghum — are down as well this year.
“We’re really looking at an acreage switch that is going to be minimal, overall a couple of hundred thousand acres,” he said. “Some might switch to sorghum – or maybe to wheat if they got it planted earlier; or, depending upon their irrigation capacity, to corn. But none of the commodity prices look that good, and producers are going to be faced with making some hard decisions to see what crops pencil out the best.”
Morgan said some Rio Grande Valley growers were planning to begin planting cotton this week.
“Part of that situation is they want to take advantage of their current soil moisture situation, which is good,” he said. “Last year, it was too wet to plant, which led to about 40 percent of the intended acres not getting planted. Some folks want to avoid the possibility of being in a similar situation. They also remember the string of years where they didn’t have enough soil moisture to plant. So they are pushing the planting envelope a bit.”
In the Blacklands and Central Texas, the usual planting dates starts about April 1 to May 1. In the High Plains, planting will start around May 15.
“So, despite good soil moisture now, additional rain will be needed to be able to establish the cotton crop,” Morgan said.
It’s a little too early to predict how cotton plantings will go this year, but conditions so far are much more favorable than in recent years, he said.
“However, we will need some in-season rain to obtain the yields necessary to make cotton profitable in 2016,” Morgan said.
AgriLife Extension district reporters compiled the following summaries:
The 12 Texas A&M AgriLife Extension Districts

Central: Soil moisture, rangeland, pastures and overall crop conditions were fair in most counties. Livestock were in good condition. However, high winds and unseasonably warm weather depleted soil moisture. Producers were hoping for rain prior to planting corn and other row crops. A few producers were already planting corn, but others were holding off until late February. Oats and wheat were in poor condition. Stock-water tanks were full.
Coastal Bend: No significant rainfall was received. Persistently dry conditions dramatically changed the soil-moisture profile. Topsoil was dry, but deep subsoil moisture was still available. Most producers finished fertilizing. Corn planting was underway, and some sorghum planting began. Rice planting intentions were up due to the availability of Colorado River water for irrigation. Pastures were dry, but grass was holding its quality. Producers were making prescribed burns. Cattle remained in good condition, thanks in part to the unseasonably mild weather. Early peach varieties were blooming.
East: Drying winds and wildfire danger were the biggest concerns around the region. A few counties reported rain, with Marion County reporting the most at 2 inches. Subsoil and topsoil moisture was adequate except for a couple of counties reporting short. Sunny and warm conditions prompted vegetable producers to prepare fields and plant onions and potatoes. Fruit growers were pruning. Temperature fluctuations, along with drying soil conditions, decreased winter forage growth. Pastures were not growing and were in poor condition, requiring livestock producers to continue feeding hay and supplements. However, most livestock remained in good condition due to the milder-than-normal winter. Spring calving was in progress. Many producers planned to begin turning out bulls for breeding soon. Weaning and selling market-ready calves and cull cows continued. Calf prices were lower on certain classes. Pairs and bred cattle were steady. Feral hog damage was reported.
Far West: Temperatures were above normal, with highs in the low- to mid-70s and lows near freezing to the 40s. Windy conditions with no measureable moisture raised the danger of wildfire. Pastures were greening up some with cool-season forbs and grasses, but their growth was not sufficient to provide needed nutrition for livestock. Some producers were still feeding cattle, both stockers and brood cows, while others were shipping livestock to feedlots. It was the middle of calving season for most herds. Ranchers struggled to maintain the condition of cattle they hung onto throughout the last drought and were providing large amounts of supplemental feed. Lambing and kidding season began. Farmers were preparing cotton fields for planting. Pecan growers were pruning trees.
North: Topsoil moisture varied from adequate to surplus, with some counties reporting shortages. Nighttime temperatures dropped below freezing on many nights. Drier weather allowed soils to dry slightly, permitting fieldwork. Thanks to clearer weather, winter wheat looked a little better. Late-planted winter pastures showed some growth. The last of the cotton crop was being harvested. If dry conditions continued, farmers expected to start planting corn in late February and into March. Ranchers were able to turn cattle back on winter pastures with the drier conditions. Elm trees were budding, peach tree buds were swelling. Livestock were eating more hay than expected, but were generally in good condition as clover and ryegrass pastures slowly came on. Calves were doing well. Wild hogs continued to cause problems and do damage. Hopkins County was declared a disaster zone by the federal government due to damages from December rains.
Panhandle: Open weather allowed producers to do fieldwork, apply fertilizer and repair equipment in preparation for spring plantings. Pasture and rangeland were in fair to good condition across most of the region, with a few counties reporting poor conditions and a few rating it excellent. Subsoil and topsoil moisture was short to adequate. Winter wheat was nearly all emerged and reported in fair to good condition, with a few reporting excellent. In some areas, the crop needed water. Cows on dormant range were being fed supplements. Calving was in full progress in some areas, while in others ranchers were beginning spring roundups and weaning calves. Cattle on wheat pasture were doing well due to mild weather. The biggest concern across the region was the high potential for wildfire.
Rolling Plains: Warm weather allowed farmers to do fieldwork. Wheat was generally greening up and growing, and stocker cattle on wheat were gaining and doing well. There were concerns about rust in wheat along with other fungus issues due to the wet winter conditions. Wildfire danger was an issue, and a few small burns had to be controlled. Wind and warm temperatures were rapidly drying out soils. Some small grains showed growth.
South: The region continued to be cold and dry with no rain received in any county. In the northern part of the region, potato and wheat plantings were completed, with most of the latter crop already emerged. Some early corn planting began, and farmers increased irrigation of some crops due to dry conditions. Soil moisture was short in Frio and McMullen counties. Atascosa County had 70 percent adequate subsoil and 80 percent short topsoil moisture. Live Oak County had 90 percent adequate soil moisture. In the eastern part of the region, early-morning frosts and lack of rain caused rangeland and pastures to decline. Beef cattle body condition declined because of poor forage quality. Local cattle markets averaged sales of 500 to 600 head per week, with prices holding steady. In Jim Wells County, the demand for replacement cows remained good, but prices varied tremendously depending upon age and quality. Soil moisture was adequate in Brooks, Kleberg and Kenedy counties, and 100 percent short in Duval and Jim Wells counties. In the western part of the region, dry conditions kept producers busy irrigating carrots, cabbage, spinach and onions. Spinach and cabbage harvesting was active. Leaf and stem rust on wheat was reduced, probably as a result of extremely dry conditions. Available cool-season forages continued to decline on native rangeland and pastures, causing ranchers to increase supplemental feeding. Soil moisture was short in Dimmit and Zavala counties, and adequate in Webb County. In the southern part of the region, farmers were fully engaged in planting row crops, particularly grain sorghum. Cabbage, broccoli and tomatoes progressed well in Cameron County, and there was some harvesting of lettuce. In Hidalgo County, sugarcane, citrus and vegetable harvesting was active. Field preparations for spring plantings were also going strong in Hidalgo County. Soil moisture was adequate in Cameron and Starr counties, while in Hidalgo County, it was short to adequate.
South Plains: Producers throughout the region were taking advantage of milder weather and drier conditions to do fieldwork: tilling, incorporating pre-plant herbicides, applying fertilizer, plowing under cotton stalks and preparing planting beds. Winter wheat was growing, but in some areas, it could use more moisture. Some farmers began pre-watering for cotton planting. With low commodity prices, many farmers were struggling with hard choices on what to plant. With cottonseed prices expected to decline, gins and elevators were offering production programs to entice farmers to grow cotton.
Southeast: Soil moisture throughout the region varied widely but was mostly adequate to surplus, with adequate ratings being the most common. Fort Bend and Walker counties reported 100 percent adequate moisture. Rangeland and pasture ratings varied widely too, mostly from fair to poor, with fair ratings being the most common. Walker County had warmer weather, which promoted cool-season forage growth. Brazos County had no measurable rainfall, above-average temperatures and windy weather. Corn producers were preparing to plant soon. In Grimes County, unusually warm weather allowed for more fieldwork. Waller County was still having cold, frosty mornings. In Chambers County, farmers were gearing up for fieldwork. Fields there remained wet but were drying out quickly. Fort Bend County had dry weather as well, and producers expected to be able to plant corn soon. They will likely follow planting corn with grain sorghum by the end of the month. Livestock were in good condition, and pastures were in fair condition but needed rain.
Southwest: Winds and warmer temperatures were quickly drying out soils. Continued dry conditions caused some areas to institute burn bans. Rain was also needed to help with spring planting. Peaches needed a few more chilling hours. Most small grain crops showed moisture stress. Livestock were in fair condition. Lambing and kidding continued.
West Central: The region had dry, windy conditions with cold nights but unseasonably warm days. Soil moisture continued to decline. Rangeland wildfires were still a concern in all areas. Field activities increased. Preparations for spring planting were underway. Winter wheat broke dormancy and showed noticeable growth. Some insect issues were reported. Most small grains remained in fair to good condition despite lack of moisture but needed rain soon for continued growth. Cotton harvesting was mostly completed, and local gins expected to finish processing in the next couple of weeks. Overall, cotton yields were slightly below average, along with lower lint grades. Rangeland and pastures were improving. Livestock remained in fair to good condition with continued supplemental feeding.
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Farm & Ranch
Grazing North Texas: Who’s Your Neighbor?
By Tony Dean, tonydean.tx1@gmail.com
Who qualifies as your neighbor? Webster says it is someone who lives nearby, but it isn’t always that simple. Is my neighbor the person next door, or someone in the next county? It could be both.
Our neighbors are an important part of life on the ranch and the grazing lands we share. Many of us find comfort in knowing another human being is somewhere in our neck of the woods, and that someone nearby cares what happens to us.
Being a good neighbor is part of being a productive and responsible rancher, so let’s look at some of the qualities that make a good one.
Protect your neighbor
Watch out for him.
The cattle business is dangerous. Almost everything we work with is bigger and faster than we are. A mad cow can turn an otherwise wonderful day into a disaster. Sooner or later, all of us will need some help.
The average age of today’s rancher keeps climbing. Be aware of your neighbors’ ages, limitations or disabilities, and keep an eye out for anything outside their normal routine.
More women own and operate ranches today, too. Some may suddenly find themselves responsible for parts of the operation that a spouse or family member used to handle. As neighbors, we can be a valuable backup system, helping one another learn, adjust and keep the operation moving.
And then there is wildfire. It can be on us in minutes. You may need to help move a family down the road to safety or move livestock out of harm’s way. Have a plan in mind before the emergency happens.
Be a friend
Some of us who live in the country drive to town for work or make regular trips for other reasons. Others are stay-at-home ranchers, and life can get a little lonely. A friendly smile, a phone call or an invitation to lunch can mean more than we realize.
Things aren’t always wine and roses at the ranch. Few occupations ask people to juggle such a mix of complex markets, weather, natural resource management, livestock management and countless other issues.
Spirits can get low. If we are listening, we can hear and feel the stress in someone’s life. On those days, you have a chance to be a special kind of friend.
Help your neighbor
Have you ever tried to load a trailer by yourself and needed someone to stand in the gate for a couple of minutes? All of us will need help at some point, and our neighbors should be among the people we can call.
Do your best to be there when needed, and your neighbors will likely be there when it is your turn to ask. Sometimes it will be a small job. Other times, it will be a big one. It doesn’t matter. We help our neighbors.
It’s also smart to make sure someone nearby knows your ranching program and understands the land you use. At some point, one of you may need to take care of business for the other for several days.
Be cooperative
There is no end to the situations that can involve more than one family. Fencing, road maintenance and livestock getting where they don’t belong are common ones.
If you don’t handle these things with a friendly, cooperative attitude, they can create problems between neighbors that last for years.
Good fences are something to be proud of. Nothing is gained by years of bickering. Reaching an agreement may be hard at times, but neighbors should be able to work things out. Clear your head, use common sense and come up with an answer everyone can live with.
If your cattle get mixed up with your neighbor’s, make it a priority to separate them as soon as possible. It is rude to let your cattle stay in your neighbor’s pasture eating his grass while you do nothing about it.
One good way to handle strays is for the rancher whose pasture they are in to pen his own cattle along with the strays. The other rancher can then load his cattle and take them home. Afterward, both ranchers can work together on any fence repairs.
By the way, a gate between neighbors is almost always a good policy.
Take ownership
The only way to avoid mistakes is to do nothing. But it isn’t in us as ranchers to sit around and watch the world go by. We are men and women of action, so things are going to go sideways from time to time.
When that happens, and it will, own your mistakes. Decisive action can prevent misunderstandings and make a problem go away much faster.
Be honest, and never, ever lie.
Be patient
We all have bad days. When your neighbor is a little grouchy, he or she probably has something weighing on them.
That is a chance to be a good neighbor. Be patient. Be a good listener. Help your neighbor through the turmoil if you can.
Respect property boundaries
Trespassing is wrong, illegal and rude. Never do it except in an emergency.
In the Southwest, where we live, land ownership is considered a sacred right, and it is a right available to anyone. With ownership comes an expectation of privacy and respect. When you trespass, you violate those rights.
And yes, it is trespassing when you cross a fence to fish or hunt without permission. Texas is a private-property state, which makes respecting these boundaries especially important.
That doesn’t mean you can’t have an understanding with your neighbors that lets you onto their land. Many good friends and neighbors work together on one another’s ranches, but both parties should always communicate well.
You have a cell phone. Use it any time you doubt whether you have the right to go through the gate. An invitation onto another person’s ranch is a privilege, so don’t abuse it.
Your word
Your word as a rancher, neighbor, man or woman helps define you in your community and throughout your life. Your neighbors want to trust you. They want to know that all they need from you is a handshake and that they can depend on what you say.
It is a blessing to live in North Texas, where people still respect and honor a life lived with truth and love.
A good life to live
Having good neighbors is a great way to live. It brings comfort and enjoyment to life. Sometimes it takes a little extra effort, but a friendly neighborhood, even one that covers many acres, is enjoyable and can help keep all of us safer.
It is worth the effort.
The Bible
The Bible has many references to being a good neighbor. Being a good neighbor was good judgment 2,000 years ago, and it is good judgment today. Jesus made it clear that love should guide a good neighbor.
Leviticus 19:18 tells us to love our neighbors as ourselves. That is a tall order. In Matthew 5:44, Jesus takes it further, telling us to love our enemies and pray for those who persecute us.
Our goal should always be to love one another, lift each other up, and help and protect our neighbors.
All of us face drought, floods, wildfire, tornadoes, low cattle prices, rattlesnakes and feral hogs, so let’s fight the fight together. Stand by your neighbor’s side, and he will stand by yours.
A North Texas minister was recently asked, “What do you do if you have a neighbor who is really hard to love?”
His answer was short and to the point: “Love him anyway.”
Farm & Ranch
Beyond Crude Protein
By NTFR Staff
A stack of hay may look good from the outside. The bales may be heavy, green and free of obvious weeds or mold. None of that tells a cattle producer what the hay will provide once it reaches the feed bunk.
Two bales from the same field can differ noticeably in nutrition if they were cut at different stages of maturity, weathered differently or stored under different conditions. The differences grow even larger when you compare hay bought from separate farms or produced in different growing seasons.
A forage analysis takes much of the guesswork out by showing what the hay contains and where you may need to supplement.
Crude protein is often the first number producers check, but it is only one part of the report. Energy, fiber, moisture and possible toxicity concerns can matter just as much when deciding whether a lot of hay suits dry cows, lactating cows, replacement heifers or growing calves.
Reading beyond the protein number
Most forage reports show results on both an “as received” and a dry-matter basis. The as-received column includes the water in the hay. The dry-matter column takes moisture out of the calculation so you can compare feeds with different moisture levels fairly.
For ration planning, the dry-matter values are usually the most useful. If you’re comparing dry hay with silage, cubes or another feed, make the comparison on a dry-matter basis rather than on the numbers as fed.
Moisture still deserves attention. Hay baled too wet is more likely to heat, mold or deteriorate in storage. In severe cases, heating can create a fire risk. Moisture also affects how many pounds of actual nutrients you are buying. A heavy bale isn’t necessarily a nutrient-dense bale if much of its weight is water.
Crude protein, usually listed as CP, estimates the protein in the forage based on its nitrogen content. Protein keeps the rumen microbes that help cattle digest forage working. When forage protein drops too low, intake and digestion may decline because those microbes can’t function as well.
The amount of protein a cow needs changes a great deal through the year. A mature, dry cow in mid-pregnancy needs less than a cow in late pregnancy or early lactation. Young, growing cattle and first-calf heifers may also need more protein than mature dry cows. Hay that is adequate for one group may fall short for another.
Always compare a forage report with the needs of the cattle that will eat the hay. Oklahoma State University notes that cattle requirements vary with weight, age, stage of production, desired gain and milk production. A single protein target can’t describe the needs of an entire herd.
Energy is another major piece of the feeding decision. Many forage reports express energy as total digestible nutrients, or TDN, an estimate of the digestible energy in the feed. Protein supports rumen function and tissue growth, while energy fuels maintenance, pregnancy, milk production and weight gain.
Hay can test well for protein and still come up short on energy. That matters most for cows nearing calving or producing milk. Low-energy hay may leave cattle feeling full without giving them enough nutrition to hold body condition. University of Nebraska Extension stresses evaluating both protein and energy when judging the feeding value of forage.
Fiber measurements help explain why cattle eat one hay readily and less of another. Neutral detergent fiber, or NDF, represents much of the plant’s structural material, including cellulose, hemicellulose and lignin. As NDF rises, cattle generally eat less because bulky, fibrous forage stays in the digestive tract longer.
Acid detergent fiber, or ADF, includes the least digestible parts of the plant. Higher ADF generally means lower digestibility and less available energy. Put simply, high NDF can limit how much cattle eat, and high ADF can mean they get less energy from what they do eat.
Both numbers tend to climb as forage plants mature. Mature hay usually has more stem and less leaf than hay cut earlier. It may still be acceptable feed for animals with lower needs, but it is less likely to support lactating cows or growing cattle without supplementation.
Some reports also include relative feed value, or RFV. This index uses ADF and NDF to compare forage quality, particularly for alfalfa and other legumes. It can help when you compare similar types of hay, but it doesn’t account for every nutrient cattle need. Don’t let RFV replace a closer look at crude protein, energy and the animal’s stage of production.
Depending on the lab package you choose, the report may include minerals. Labs commonly report calcium and phosphorus, but a forage analysis can’t replace a well-designed mineral program. Water quality, other feeds and interactions among minerals all affect mineral needs and availability. Work with an Extension specialist, veterinarian or livestock nutritionist before making major mineral changes.
Nitrate and prussic acid
A standard forage analysis may not include nitrates, and you often have to request that test separately. Nitrate testing is especially important for drought-stressed forage, heavily fertilized fields and crops such as sorghum, sudangrass, sorghum-sudan hybrids, millet, oats and some weeds.
Nitrate can remain in cured hay and doesn’t reliably disappear in storage. Test any hay you suspect of high nitrate before feeding it. Oklahoma State University recommends a laboratory analysis because field screening tests can show that nitrate is present but can’t measure how much.
Prussic acid is a different concern. Unlike nitrate, prussic acid usually dissipates as properly cured hay sits in storage, though suspect forage still needs careful management and professional guidance. Be sure which test you need, and don’t treat the terms nitrate and prussic acid as interchangeable.
Putting the numbers to work
A hay test pays off when it leads to a feeding plan. Once you have the results, you can match the hay to the right class of cattle. Save better hay for replacement heifers, thin cows, late-gestation cows or cows with calves at side. Feed lower-quality hay to mature dry cows with modest requirements.
Testing can also prevent unnecessary supplementation. Without an analysis, you may buy protein tubs, cubes or other supplements your cattle don’t need. The opposite mistake costs just as much. Assuming hay is better than it is can lead to lost body condition, lower milk production, poor breed-back rates and lighter calves.
Visual inspection still matters. Don’t ignore mold, foreign material, weeds, dust or heat damage because a lab report shows acceptable numbers. At the same time, color and appearance can’t reliably predict nutrient content. University of Nebraska notes that forage nutrient values vary widely, which makes average book values a poor substitute for testing the feed you have on hand.
A forage analysis won’t make poor hay better, but it can show you how to use that hay well. For the cost of a test, you get information that can guide hay purchases, cut supplement waste and put each lot of hay where it will do the most good.
The protein number may get the most attention, but it doesn’t tell the whole story. Understanding moisture, TDN, NDF, ADF and potential toxicity gives you a much clearer picture of what is inside the bale.
Farm & Ranch
Don’t Be Caught Off Guard
By Savannah Magoteaux
A September rain can be exactly what a North Texas pasture needs, but that flush of green can bring an unwelcome guest.
Fall armyworms are a familiar late-summer and early-fall pest across Texas, and they can do serious damage to pastures and hay fields when conditions are right. Bermudagrass is a common target, but armyworms also feed on small grains, ryegrass and other forage crops. The key is catching them early, before a manageable infestation turns into a field that seems to disappear overnight.
Despite the name, fall armyworms are caterpillars. The adult moths migrate into Texas and lay masses of eggs on grasses, fence posts, buildings and other surfaces. Once the larvae hatch, they start feeding on plants.
Young armyworms are small and hard to spot unless you are actively scouting. As they grow, their appetite climbs. Larger larvae can strip leaves fast, leaving stems behind and cutting into available forage or hay yield.
Look for an inverted, light-colored “Y” on the caterpillar’s head. Mature larvae can reach about 1½ inches long and often have several dark and light stripes running the length of the body.
Armyworms feed most actively during the cooler parts of the day, so early morning and late afternoon are good times to scout. Walk through several areas of the pasture rather than checking only along the edge. Look closely near the soil surface and beneath grass leaves, especially where you see fresh feeding damage.
Scouting matters most after rain or irrigation. New grass growth draws newly hatched larvae, and populations can build quickly when conditions favor them.
Texas A&M AgriLife Extension generally recommends considering treatment in improved pastures when you find about three or more armyworms per square foot. The decision should also weigh the size of the larvae, how much forage is present, the expected hay value and how severe the damage is.
Timing matters. Small armyworms are easier to control than large ones, and an insecticide does less good once the caterpillars are nearly mature and have already eaten much of the forage. If you treat, follow the product label carefully, including grazing and hay-harvest restrictions.
Don’t assume one treatment or one scouting trip will carry a pasture through the season. Fall armyworm moths can keep moving into an area, laying more eggs and starting another generation of larvae. Keep checking fields even after you have controlled an infestation.
For hay producers, an approaching harvest date can also shape the decision. When the crop is close to harvest, cutting the field may be a better option than spraying. The best choice depends on the number and size of the armyworms, how much forage remains and whether the weather allows you to cut hay.
September rain is usually welcome across North Texas, especially after a long, hot summer. Just remember that fresh green grass deserves a closer look. A few minutes of scouting can make the difference between catching fall armyworms early and finding the damage after they have eaten their fill.
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